See the calendar on the right for the full schedule.

Wednesday, October 02, 2013

Exciting 2012 Election Conference at OSU


The Confirming U.S. Presidential Election of 2012

Friday, October 11 – Saturday, October 12, 2013
Mershon Center for International Security Studies
1501 Neil Ave., Columbus, OH 43201

Herbert Weisberg, Professor Emeritus of Political Science, The Ohio State University

This conference will examine the 2012 presidential campaign and election, analyzing factors that affected voting, including the impact of domestic, foreign, and military policy debates.  

The 2012 U.S. presidential election took place against the backdrop of continuing domestic recession along with persistent issues regarding tax rates and deficit reduction. The country was winding down its commitments in wars abroad while still being faced with military threats around the world. Immigration was an important issue for Hispanic voters, as well as for many Americans who opposed amnesty toward illegal immigrants. As in recent elections, social issues including abortion and marriage equality found their way into the campaign. While not debated explicitly, race is always a factor in U.S. elections.

The 2012 election confirmed Obama's 2008 voter coalition of African-Americans, Hispanics, women, gays, and young people, with each of these groups continuing to vote Democratic and with higher than their normal turnout levels. Thus, the 2012 election could be seen as confirming a pro-Democratic realignment of the electorate that had emerged in the 2008 election, which could have long-term implications. 


Friday, October 11

9 - 9:30 a.m. Welcome

9:30 a.m. - 12 p.m.  Group Dynamics in the 2012 Election

“Racial Group Identity and the 2012 Election”  - Vincent Hutchings and Hakeem Jefferson (Univ. of Michigan)

“Earning and Learning the Latino Vote 2008 to 2012: How the Obama Campaign Tried, Refined, Learned, and Made Big Steps in Cross-Racial Mobilization to Latinos” - Matt Barreto (Univ. of Washington) and Loren Collingwood (UC Riverside)

1 - 3 p.m. Racial Attitudes in the Obama Years

“The Changing Impact of Anti-Black Attitudes on Approval of Barack Obama’s Job Performance and on Voting from 2008 to 2012” - Josh Pasek (Univ. of Michigan); coauthors: Tobias Stark (Stanford/Utrecht), Jon Krosnick (Stanford) & Trevor Tompson (NORC)

“Barack Obama, Racial Attitudes, and the 2012 Election”  - Michael Tesler (Brown University)

3:35 - 5:15 p.m. Implications of the 2012 Election

“Ideology and Polarization in the 2012 Presidential Election” - William Jacoby (Michigan State)

"Racial Attitude Effects on Presidential Voting by Whites, 2008 and 2012" - Herb Weisberg (Ohio State) 
“Barack Obama and the Nationalization of Electoral Politics in 2012” -  Gary Jacobson (University of California, San Diego)

Saturday, October 12

9 - 12:15 p.m. Campaign Factors and Issues

“Obama’s War? Casualties in Afghanistan and the President’s Bid for Reelection” - Christopher Gelpi and Kristine Kay (Ohio State)

“Between Barack and a Hard Place: Valence Voting in the 2012 Presidential Election” - Harold Clarke (Texas - Dallas); coauthors: Paul Whiteley (Essex), Thomas Scotto (Essex), Marianne Stewart (Texas – Dallas), & David Sanders (Essex)

“The Gamble: Choice and Chance in the 2012 Pres. Election, Chap. 7, "The Winning Hand” - Lynn Vavreck (UCLA); coauthor: John Sides (George Washington Univ.)

Herb Asher, The Ohio State University
Matt Barreto, University of Washington
Paul Beck, The Ohio State University
Adam Berinsky, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Janet Box-Steffensmeier, The Ohio State University
David Campbell, University of Notre Dame
Harold Clarke, University of Texas – Dallas
Loren Collingwood, University of California - Riverside
Christopher Gelpi, The Ohio State University
Vincent Hutchings, University of Michigan
Gary Jacobson, University of California - San Diego
William Jacoby, Michigan State University
Corrine McConnaughy, The Ohio State University
John Mueller, The Ohio State University
Josh Pasek, University of Michigan
Nathaniel Swigger, The Ohio State University
Michael Tesler, Brown University
Lynn Vavreck, University of California at Los Angeles
Herb Weisberg, The Ohio State University
Ismail White, The Ohio State University

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